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Climate and Water Science Advisory Panel — Report

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Climate Change in New Mexico Over the Next 50 Years: Impacts on Water Resources


Download the Report  (28 MB PDF)

Watch:"New Mexico’s 50 Year Water Plan: A Solid Foundation" — a short video featuring authors discussing the report.

This scientific report describes climate change impacts to water resources in New Mexico. It was prepared by a team of climate and water resources scientists convened by the New Mexico Bureau of Geology and Mineral Resources (NMBGMR). This report, also referred to as the Leap Ahead Analysis Assessment, will inform the development of the New Mexico 50-Year Water Plan, in preparation by the Interstate Stream Commission (ISC).

This report details the current state of knowledge on how climate change and water resources may vary in New Mexico over the next 50 years. In addition to synthesizing the state of knowledge on this topic, the report identifies significant data and modeling gaps and uncertainties, and suggests research directions to strengthen our understanding of climate and water resource changes. The team focused only on summarizing the state of knowledge of projected climate and water resource variation, and did not carry out new research, propose ways to mitigate projected changes, or define potential infrastructure initiatives that could optimize the use of a diminishing resource.

Suggested citation:

  1. New Mexico Bureau of Geology and Mineral Resources, 2022, Climate change in New Mexico over the next 50 years: Impacts on water resources: New Mexico Bureau of Geology and Mineral Resources, Bulletin 164.

Revision History

released for public comment: 9/15/2021
revised after public comment: 12/7/2021
revised with two-column layout: 3/30/2022
[see detailed change log]

Public Comments

Public involvement was particularly important in this project. Public comments related to the scientific analysis in this report were accepted from 9/15/2021 to 10/15/2021. In response to these comments, the report was revised and a new draft was released on 12/7/2021. Comments regarding water and climate policy should be saved for the New Mexico 50-Year Water Plan, which will have a separate public comment period.

Final Report

This report will be published as a New Mexico Bureau of Geology and Mineral Resources Bulletin, and will be made freely available in PDF format. The third draft will remain available until publication of the new Bulletin.