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Climate & Water Science Advisory Panel — Report

Climate Change in New Mexico over the Next 50 Years: Impacts on Water Resources

Nelia W. Dunbar, David S. Gutzler, Fred M. Phillips, Craig D. Allen, David DuBois, J. Phillip King, Leslie D. McFadden, Bruce M. Thomson, and Anne C. Tillery

2021

This scientific report describes climate change impacts to water resources in New Mexico. It was prepared by a team of climate and water resources scientists convened by New Mexico Bureau of Geology and Mineral Resources (NMBGMR). This report, also referred to as the Leap Ahead Analysis Assessment,  will inform the development of the New Mexico 50-Year Water Plan, in preparation by the Interstate Stream Commission (ISC).

This report details the current state of knowledge on how climate change and water resources may vary in New Mexico over the next 50 years. In addition to synthesizing the state of knowledge on this topic, the report identifies significant data and modeling gaps and uncertainties, and suggest research directions to strengthen our understanding of climate and water resource changes. The team focused only on summarizing the state of knowledge of projected climate and water resource variation, and did not carry out new research, propose ways to mitigate projected changes, or define potential infrastructure initiatives that could optimize the use of a diminishing resource.

Public Comments

Public involvement is particularly important in this project. The NMBGMR and the ISC want to hear from you about your concerns and suggestions related to the scientific analysis in this report, and welcome your feedback. You may submit a comment or question on any topic relevant to this report via an ISC Public Comment Form. The deadline for public comments is midnight on the evening of 10/15/2021.

Comments and questions will only be accepted through the comment form and not via emailComments regarding water and climate policy should be saved for the New Mexico 50-Year Water Plan, which will have a separate public comment period.

Pending review of public comments, the report will be published as a New Mexico Bureau of Geology and Mineral Resources Bulletin, and will be made freely available in PDF format. Comments regarding water and climate policy should be saved for the New Mexico 50-Year Water Plan, which will have a separate public comment period.